Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.243436 0.331020 0.433951 0.561826 0.714392 0.888615 1.100588
2026-01-11 0.121322 0.217202 0.350487 0.539810 0.792295 1.108293 1.524133
2026-01-18 0.058838 0.145702 0.290445 0.524112 0.867378 1.329877 1.975750
2026-01-25 0.028834 0.103665 0.254075 0.527152 0.962371 1.584012 2.491934
2026-02-01 0.011402 0.068271 0.211312 0.505308 1.012609 1.777325 2.939547
2026-02-08 0.005189 0.052767 0.198658 0.529198 1.133715 2.079979 3.557437
2026-02-15 0.001689 0.037674 0.177791 0.530508 1.214858 2.326329 4.106969
2026-02-22 0.000661 0.031885 0.177843 0.573186 1.370749 2.697015 4.856327
2026-03-01 0.000151 0.025320 0.171096 0.598619 1.496781 3.026489 5.557461
2026-03-08 0.000006 0.018436 0.157463 0.603932 1.584253 3.296839 6.178470
2026-03-15 NaN 0.012167 0.139222 0.592071 1.635483 3.508079 6.714737
2026-03-22 NaN 0.008863 0.130843 0.603338 1.732699 3.800514 7.387222
2026-03-29 NaN 0.005866 0.119554 0.604317 1.810945 4.068523 8.038360
2026-04-05 NaN 0.003151 0.102700 0.582815 1.838460 4.248926 8.556125
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001588 0.089315 0.567092 1.875851 4.447851 9.110323
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000872 0.082267 0.570751 1.957082 4.729688 9.809518
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000290 0.069635 0.547854 1.972618 4.889838 10.310372
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000171 0.068963 0.573263 2.107106 5.278629 11.206071
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000053 0.063243 0.574711 2.182083 5.556931 11.921469
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000041 0.066816 0.619888 2.371037 6.060508 13.032488
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000018 0.066525 0.646784 2.514977 6.481455 14.010604
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000002 0.062170 0.652405 2.604190 6.798884 14.817593
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.054931 0.639879 2.644097 7.020582 15.463703